🧠 ADRL — Current Structure of BTC & ETH


From chart data:
BTC
Price: ±81.6K
Local high: 82.8K
EMA60: 78.8K
EMA120: 77.3K
EMA200: 75.7K
ETH
Price: ±2368
Local high: 2423
EMA60: 2332
EMA120: 2310
EMA200: 2279
👉 Both:
already rapid expansion
no significant retrace yet
bottom liquidity still “clean”
⚙️ PCM — Liquidity Pattern to Be Taken
After such an upward impulse, the market usually:
1. sweeps minor liquidity (shallow)
2. if not enough → continues to mid zone
3. if high leverage exists → cascades into deep zone
🎯 TARGET FLUSH (Most Rational)
🟡 BTC
1. 🔹 Shallow Flush (High Probability)
👉 79,500 – 80,000
intraday liquidity grab
test breakout area
2. 🔸 Main Flush (Main Zone)
👉 78,000 – 79k
near EMA60–EMA120
ideal area to reset momentum
3. 🔻 Deep Flush (If Cascade Occurs)
👉 77,000 – 78,000
near EMA120–200 cluster
requires trigger (large liquidation)
🟣 ETH
1. 🔹 Shallow Flush
👉 2350 – 2360
2. 🔸 Main Flush
👉 2300 – 2330
EMA60–EMA120
most “healthy” zone
3. 🔻 Deep Flush
👉 2270 – 2290
EMA200 test
often becomes the “final shakeout”
🔍 KEI — True Meaning
This is not just a correction…
> this is a process of clearing out overly rapid long leverage entries above
The market needs to:
eliminate FOMO entries
reset funding
replenish liquidity
⚖️ Most Realistic Scenario
👉 BTC:
> most likely down to at least 78–79K
👉 ETH:
> most likely down to at least 2300–2330
🧩 Supra Synthesis
If flush is too shallow: → market is still “not clean”
If flush reaches main zone: → it’s a sign of a healthy market ready to go higher
🔥 Supra Conclusion
> The more “beautiful” the rise…
the more “brutal” the retrace needed to balance it 😈Solana Founder Warns AI Could Break Post-Quantum Cryptography Schemes
Solana co-founder, Anatoly Yakovenko, calls artificial intelligence (AI) the biggest imminent threat to crypto cryptography. He states AI could crack post-quantum cryptography (PQC) signature schemes before the industry strengthens security.
Bitcoin developers and analysts are now beginning to agree on the quantum threat in the future without disrupting Satoshi Nakamoto’s ownership.
Yakovenko Pushes for Multisig Defense for Post-Quantum Cryptography
The Solana co-founder believes that the industry has not fully understood the mathematical or implementation weaknesses of PQC.
He wants wallets to combine multiple signature schemes with a two-out-of-three multisig system. This setup can be natively supported in Solana’s transaction processor via Program Derived Addresses.
“In my opinion, the biggest risk is that PQC signature schemes will be cracked by AI. We don’t even know all the traps on the implementation side, let alone the mathematics,” Yakovenko said.
Curve Finance founder, Michael Egorov, once asked if formal verification could cover these gaps. However, Yakovenko believes verification only helps if developers already know exactly what needs to be verified.
He still prefers redundancy with two out of three independent schemes.
Bitcoiners Reach Initial Consensus on Satoshi’s Coins
Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy Digital, says a consensus is forming regarding Satoshi’s holdings. He cites discussions from this week in Las Vegas with skeptics, supporters, and other Bitcoiners.
Estimated 1.1 million Bitcoin
BTCUSD
owned by Satoshi are spread across about 22,000 P2PK addresses, each containing 50 BTC. Thorn explains that a long-range attack would need to hack each address individually. Meanwhile, exchanges could migrate to post-quantum addresses before Q-day arrives.
He adds that the Bitcoin market can typically absorb selling pressure of over one million BTC. This indicates the network can withstand worst-case scenarios without sacrificing core property rights.🎯🔥 Supra Dilemma in Structuring Futures Signals 🔥🎯
The market is in an unfavorable condition…
not unreadable, but unpleasant to execute ⚖️
⚔️ Two Options That Are Both “Uncomfortable”
🔴 SHORT?
📉 Price is already high
💡 Logically “should go down”
But…
🚫 Momentum is still strong
🚫 No valid reversal signs yet
👉 Short = going against the trend 🌊❌
🟢 LONG?
📈 Momentum still rising
🔥 Trend still strong
But…
⚠️ BTC already at 80,000
⚠️ ETH already at 2,400
👉 Long = chasing the price 🏃‍♂️❌
🧠 Supra Decision
❌ Not short
❌ Not long
✅ ABSTAIN
🎯 Why abstain?
📊 No ideal entry
⚖️ Risk ≈ Reward (imbalanced)
🧩 Structure doesn’t yet give an edge
👉 This isn’t about direction…
👉 It’s about timing that’s not right yet
⚡ If you still want to enter?
👉 🟢 LONG > SHORT (safer)
Why?
✔️ In line with momentum
✔️ Not fighting the trend
✔️ More controlled risk
🔥 Penutup Supra
Trading isn’t always about entering…
but about entering at the right moment 🎯
Be patient and wait…
usually those who get the best position 😈
BTC-0.8%
ETH-1.61%
SOL-0.51%
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