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#GateSquareMayTradingShare #btc
Bitcoin is currently trading around $80,815, and the market is at a real crossroads. Here are 4 key points to know:
1. On-Chain: Big Players Accumulating
Over the past 30 days, long-term wallets have added 331,000 BTC. This means a net accumulation of over $80k. During the same period, inflows into spot ETFs continue. Retail investors hesitate, asking "Is this the peak?" while institutional money is buying the dip. This divergence is usually seen before major moves.
2. Macro Pressure: Eyes on NFP
The May 5 JOLTS data came in strong, shifting rate cut expectations to July. Tomorrow, May 8, the NFP report will be released. If the data exceeds expectations, short-term selling pressure may occur, with $76,500 serving as the first support. If it falls below expectations, the $82,000 - $84,000 range could be tested quickly.
3. May Calendar: Volatility Guaranteed
• May 12: CPI data. The inflation trend will determine the Fed’s move.
• May 15: The Fed Chair’s term ends. The tone of the new chair will influence the market.
• May 22: Bitcoin Pizza Day. Social volume increases, and whipsaws become more frequent.
• May 29: Monthly options expiration. The $80k “max pain” zone, where the price may be magnetized, is notable.
4. Liquidity Warning
In the last 2 weeks, the reserve of fixed-value tokens in market maker wallets has decreased by 6.2%. Order books have thinned. This indicates sharp spikes during data releases. Use wider stop distances or reduce leverage on leveraged trades.
Summary
Holding above $80K is very critical for BTC. Institutional buying continues, but macro data and low liquidity will make the short-term volatile. Partial buying for spot accumulation makes sense; trading during data releases is risky.
#GateSquareMayTradingShare
#Gate广场五月交易分享
Note: This post is not investment advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).
Bitcoin is currently trading around $80,815, and the market is at a real crossroads. Here are 4 key points to know:
1. On-Chain: Big Players Accumulating
Over the past 30 days, long-term wallets have added 331,000 BTC. This means a net accumulation of over $80k. During the same period, inflows into spot ETFs continue. Retail investors hesitate, asking "Is this the peak?" while institutional money is buying the dip. This divergence is usually seen before major moves.
2. Macro Pressure: Eyes on NFP
The May 5 JOLTS data came in strong, shifting rate cut expectations to July. Tomorrow, May 8, the NFP report will be released. If the data exceeds expectations, short-term selling pressure may occur, with $76,500 serving as the first support. If it falls below expectations, the $82,000 - $84,000 range could be tested quickly.
3. May Calendar: Volatility Guaranteed
• May 12: CPI data. The inflation trend will determine the Fed’s move.
• May 15: The Fed Chair’s term ends. The tone of the new chair will influence the market.
• May 22: Bitcoin Pizza Day. Social volume increases, and whipsaws become more frequent.
• May 29: Monthly options expiration. The $80k “max pain” zone, where the price may be magnetized, is notable.
4. Liquidity Warning
In the last 2 weeks, the reserve of fixed-value tokens in market maker wallets has decreased by 6.2%. Order books have thinned. This indicates sharp spikes during data releases. Use wider stop distances or reduce leverage on leveraged trades.
Summary
Holding above $80K is very critical for BTC. Institutional buying continues, but macro data and low liquidity will make the short-term volatile. Partial buying for spot accumulation makes sense; trading during data releases is risky.
#GateSquareMayTradingShare
#Gate广场五月交易分享
Note: This post is not investment advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).