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Bitcoin rises, why doesn't Ethereum follow?
From Ethereum's own perspective, Ethereum has just rebounded to near the downward trend line, and yesterday it slightly broke through the downward trend line, then experienced a pullback, retesting the trend line.
Near the downward trend line is often the stage where the bullish and bearish sides have the greatest disagreement and the most intense struggle, so the performance is usually weaker at this time, requiring a period of sideways consolidation before breaking upward.
For example, Bitcoin rebounded to the downward trend line on April 17, and then consolidated near the trend line for nearly two weeks. It only started a strong rally after effectively breaking through and retesting the trend line on April 29.
Currently, Ethereum just broke through the trend line yesterday and still needs to retest to confirm the validity of the breakout.
So, it is currently relatively weak. After confirming the breakout's validity, Ethereum is also expected to experience a strong rebound.
From the relative relationship between Ethereum and Bitcoin, due to limited market liquidity at present, it is difficult for both Bitcoin and Ethereum to break through key resistance levels simultaneously and push higher.
In this situation, there is usually a clear rotation relationship between Bitcoin and Ethereum, often with Bitcoin leading the rise, reflected in the ETH/BTC exchange rate continuously falling. When ETH/BTC falls to a certain level, Ethereum then catches up with a rally, showing a rebound in ETH/BTC.
Therefore, ETH/BTC might, like in December last year, fall into the middle of the channel and then rebound, at which point Ethereum would experience a corresponding catch-up rally.