1. Core Strategy Table (by currency, direction)

Currency Direction Entry Range (USDT) Take Profit Target (USDT) Stop Loss Price (USDT) Core Basis (Cycle Resonance)
BTC Short 82,400 ~ 82,600 80,200 / 79,800 83,200 Daily RSI(6)=80.2 overbought + 4-hour MACD death cross + Whale sell wall at 82,900 + Short liquidation zone at 82,646
BTC Long 79,800 ~ 80,200 81,800 / 82,200 79,400 Whale buy orders at 80,000 (19.01 million U) + 4-hour BOLL lower band at 77,530 psychological support + Long liquidation zone at 78,084
ETH Short 2,385 ~ 2,395 2,350 / 2,325 2,412 4-hour MACD death cross + KDJ death cross + Daily close near BOLL upper band 2,406 + Whale sell orders at 2,398/2,400
ETH Long 2,330 ~ 2,345 2,380 / 2,400 2,315 4-hour BOLL lower band above 2,296 + Daily BOLL midline support at 2,324 + Long liquidation zone at 2,214
Leverage suggestion: BTC ≤ 5x, ETH ≤ 3x.
Core logic: Daily remains bullish, but 4-hour confirms pullback. Prioritize rebound shorting, light positions on sharp dips for low buy-in.

---
2. Complete Technical Indicator Cycle Table (all screenshots verified)
🔵 BTCUSDT
Cycle Price BOLL (20,2) MACD (5,10,3) KDJ (21,3,3) RSI (6) Signal Interpretation
Daily 81,240 77,572 / 81,137 / 74,007 Candle +151.2, DIF 1047, DEA 896 K=89, D=85, J=97 80.2 Breaks upper band, severely overbought, demand strongly returning
4H 81,240 79,793 / 82,056 / 77,530 Candle -46.4, DIF 376, DEA 423 K=86, D=87, J=86 64.5 MACD death cross, KDJ death cross, pullback initiated
1H 81,240 81,154 / 81,727 / 80,582 Candle +6.9, DIF 2.9, DEA -3.9 K=60, D=64, J=52 52.0 Oscillating above midline, resistance at upper band 81,727
2.87M 81,240 81,135 / 81,532 / 80,737 Candle +11.0, DIF 57.7, DEA 46.6 K=51, D=42, J=68 56.6 Short-term rebound, J near overbought

🟣 ETHUSDT
Cycle Price BOLL (20,2) MACD (5,10,3) KDJ (21,3,3) RSI (6) Signal Interpretation
Daily 2,369 2,324 / 2,406 / 2,241 Candle +4.25, DIF 15.4, DEA 11.2 K=55, D=51, J=63 68.9 Near upper band, RSI not overbought, room to run
4H 2,369 2,349 / 2,401 / 2,296 Candle -1.52, DIF 4.32, DEA 5.85 K=72, D=73, J=68 56.1 MACD death cross, KDJ death cross, clear pullback
1H 2,369 2,373 / 2,388 / 2,358 Candle +0.43, DIF -0.98, DEA -1.42 K=34, D=37, J=29 49.6 Below midline, KDJ low, weak rebound expected
2.15M 2,369 2,366 / 2,378 / 2,354 Candle +0.28, DIF 1.53, DEA 1.25 K=44, D=38, J=56 58.5 Narrow oscillation, clear upper and lower bounds

---
3. Other Dimensional Data Verification
Geopolitical & Macro
· New regulations in the Strait of Hormuz take effect, US and Iran not at war → Neutral to slightly bearish (risk aversion suppresses risk assets).
· Asian chip stocks rise (Samsung +6%), but crypto funds have not flowed back → Market remains calm.
On-chain & Sentiment
· Market 24h long-short ratio: 50.89% / 49.11% (balanced)
· Total holdings: 135 billion U, 24h liquidation 388 million U → No abnormal liquidation risk
Hyperliquid Liquidation Map (Whale real liquidation walls)
Currency Long liquidation pressure zone Short liquidation pressure zone Current Price Distance to Short Zone Distance to Long Zone
BTC 78,084 82,646 81,240 +1.73% -3.89%
ETH 2,214 2,509 / 2,688 2,369 +5.9% -6.5%
Interpretation: BTC is only 1.73% away from the short liquidation wall; touching 82,600 may trigger a chain of short liquidations, accelerating short-term rally (but daily overbought limits height). ETH liquidation zone is farther, with symmetrical space above and below.
Whale Large Orders (15-minute order book)
· BTC:
Sell walls: 82,900 (4.04 million U), 82,800 (1.7 million U), 82,500 (2.87 million U)
Buy walls: 80,000 (19.01 million U), 80,300 (2.15 million U), near 81,000
➤ Key resistance: 82,900; key support: 80,000
· ETH:
Sell walls: 2,398.88 / 2,400
Buy walls: around 2,350 (resonates with BOLL lower band)
➤ Key resistance: 2,400; key support: 2,350

---
4. Strategy Validity Verification and Revision Explanation
1. BTC Short (82,400~82,600)
· Entry logic: rebound above 4-hour upper band (82,056) + near short liquidation zone (82,646) + touch whale sell wall.
· Take profit revision: first target 80,200 (upper whale buy zone, above 1-hour lower band 80,582 safe zone), second target 79,800 (above 4-hour lower band 77,530, psychological support at round numbers).
(Original report's 80,500 is not a clear technical level, now replaced with 80,200)
· Stop loss: 83,200 (above previous high 81,749 and short liquidation wall, daily extreme overbought zone, trend reversal if broken).
· Risk-reward ratio: (82,500 → 80,200) 2,300 / (83,200 - 82,500) = 700 → 3.3:1, reasonable.
2. BTC Long (79,800~80,200)
· Entry logic: sharp dip to whale strong buy zone (80,000) without breaking 79,800.
· Take profit targets: 81,800 (near 4-hour midline) / 82,200 (below short liquidation zone).
· Stop loss: 79,400 (break below psychological 80,000 and below long liquidation zone at 78,084 with buffer).
· Note: This is a contrarian left-side trade, recommended with light position (normal 50%) or just placing orders and waiting.
3. ETH Short (2,385~2,395)
· Entry logic: rebound near 4-hour upper band (2,401) + whale sell zone.
· Take profit targets: 2,350 (15-minute lower band + buy zone) / 2,325 (above 4-hour lower band 2,296, with buffer).
· Stop loss: 2,412 (break above daily upper band 2,406 + sell wall 2,400, avoid false breakouts).
· Risk-reward ratio: (2,390 → 2,350) 40 / (2,412 - 2,390) = 22 → 1.8:1, acceptable.
4. ETH Long (2,330~2,345)
· Entry logic: deep retracement above 4-hour lower band (2,296) + daily midline support (2,324).
· Take profit targets: 2,380 (4-hour midline) / 2,400 (resistance).
· Stop loss: 2,315 (below daily midline area).
· Auxiliary condition: wait for 15-minute or 1-hour divergence signals before entering to improve success rate.

---
5. Risk Control and Dynamic Adjustment
1. Geopolitical risk: if actual military conflict occurs in Hormuz, gold and USD may surge, BTC may follow short-term (liquidity squeeze), medium-term may benefit from safe-haven narrative. Monitor news in real-time, move stop-loss to breakeven if necessary.
2. Data timeliness: all indicators from 2026-05-06 10:14, strategy validity 6~12 hours.
3. Invalid conditions:
· BTC 4-hour close > 83,200 → short position invalid, consider chasing longs to 84,000.
· ETH 4-hour close < 2,315 → long position invalid, target 2,280.
4. Position management: risk exposure in a single direction not exceeding 2% of total funds, ETH leverage suggested ≤ 3x.