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🔥 After a month of grinding, it finally moved, but many people might again be on the wrong side.
Honestly, this market is quite torturous.
It’s been sideways for nearly a month, washing out repeatedly, and many people's patience has worn thin.
And when it finally moves—BTC moves first.
And it’s not a fake move; it’s directly smashing through the 74k to 79k range.
Two consecutive weeks above 78,000, the first time touching 80k this year.
The key point isn’t at 80k,
but that the 21-week EMA has been tested and turned into support.
This thing, in the eyes of veteran players, is more important than a few thousand dollars of price increase.
But here’s the problem—
The more “seemingly stable breakouts” like this, the easier it is to get caught up.
At this position, frankly:
Above 78,000, it’s not suitable to short recklessly; this is trend capital holding.
But from 82,000 up to 86,000, it’s already entering a game zone.
Especially near 86,000, it’s not a “target level,”
more like— the first wave of divergence and harvest positions.
So don’t get the rhythm wrong:
This isn’t just takeoff; it’s already been flying for a while.
⸻
And then ETH.
Many people now see it with just one word: weak.
But I don’t quite agree.
ETH now looks more like it’s “holding back,” rather than being incapable.
The price is still above the 100 and 200-day moving averages,
indicating the main trend isn’t broken.
Volatility is decreasing,
volume is shrinking,
This state, to put it nicely, is called gathering strength,
To put it bluntly, it’s about— choosing a direction soon.
The key levels are clear:
Downward, break below 2294, and it will accelerate weakening.
Upward, stabilize above 2465, then space opens up.
This middle oscillation, don’t be overconfident,
It’s just for bouncing back and forth to shake out traders.
⸻
To be more direct:
BTC
Don’t chase highs,
Wait for a pullback before acting.
If it really hits near 86,000, stay calm.
ETH
Don’t move recklessly now,
Either wait for a dip to buy cheaper,
Or wait for a real breakout to follow.
Chopping around in the middle is basically working for the market.
⸻
And finally, to be honest, you might not like to hear this:
The real market is never all rising together.
It’s always first divergence,
First shaking out a group of people,
Then rotation.
BTC has already moved out,
ETH is still grinding.
When ETH finally starts to catch up,
Most people will already be shaken out in this oscillation.
⸻
You can keep guessing the direction,
But a more realistic question is:
👉 If the market doesn’t go as you expect, can you hold on?
If you can’t figure this out,
No matter how much analysis you do, it’s useless. $ETH #特朗普护航遇阻:美伊霍尔木兹交火 #以太坊基金会与Bitmine的ETH博弈 #4月ETF:三大加密资产同步净流入