I almost scared myself awake just now: when copying the address, I accidentally clicked an extra character, and the transfer page still didn't make it obvious. Luckily, I have the habit of sending a very small test first. On-chain, it looks like one of those "coincidental transfers"—A to B, and B just happens to transfer to C, with the times very close.


Later, I used my own simple method to analyze: first check if it's the same wallet moving across different chains/different addresses, then see if that middle transaction looks like an exchange or routing contract helping you swap, and finally compare if the amount is "just right after fees to make it round."
Honestly, many paths aren't conspiracies; tools just break actions into fragments. Recently, everyone keeps comparing RWA, US bond yields, with on-chain yield products. I also look at them, but the more I see, the more I think: no matter how similar the yields are, if you don't understand the on-chain paths and permissions, the psychological pressure is a whole different story…
Let's stay cautious for now.
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