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May 6th Bitcoin Risk and Trading Suggestions
Core Risk Warnings:
1. Above $80,000 is a dense area of previous trapped positions, with both profit-taking pressure and profit realization selling pressure, and if it cannot sustain volume breakout above $82,000, a pullback is likely;
2. The Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations are narrowing, and the US dollar index is strengthening, which may exert liquidity pressure on cryptocurrencies;
3. If the Middle East geopolitical situation eases, risk aversion demand will decline, potentially triggering a short-term price correction.
Trading References:
• Short-term: Use $80,000 as the dividing line between bullish and bearish; if the price stabilizes above this level, consider a bullish bias, targeting $82,000-$83,500; if it falls below $80,000 and cannot quickly recover, take profits promptly, wait for a pullback to the support zone of $78,000-$79,000 for re-entry, and set strict stop-losses.
• Mid-term: Core support zone is $73,600-$76,000; during pullbacks to this zone, consider phased positioning. The core logic remains regulatory implementation, institutional continued allocation, and long-term supply contraction after halving. Do not blindly short until a clear trend reversal appears. #WCTC交易王PK $BTC $ETH