FedWatch 38.6%: The rate-hike expectations are back, but BTC around 80k is still sluggish. This rate-hike sword has already been worked into crypto-market pricing.
CME FedWatch lifted the probability of “at least one rate hike this year” to 38.6% on May 4—just a few days earlier, it was in the single digits. The interest-rate market is changing its tune: the inflation tail hasn’t been cut cleanly, and oil prices and geopolitics are pulling expectations higher. The old consensus that “rate cuts = tailwind for risk assets” is being put on pause.
However, pricing for the near-term meetings is

🚨 STABLECOIN PAYMENTS ARE NOW PRIVATE ON #POLYGON
#Polygon has launched shielded payments for solana:EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v and $USDT inside its wallet. The new “Privately Send” option keeps the sender, receiver, and payment amount hidden from public onchain view. Transfers run through Hinkal’s shielded pool and #use zero-knowledge proofs to prove the transaction is valid. #Crypto
$MATIC

$LAB This price probably won’t go through the roof, and the current fee rate is also low. I’m just going to spar with the market maker. Who made me get on the criminal boat?

Strong momentum is building around $NEIRO as fresh buying pressure enters the market. An inflow of 803K USDT within just 13 minutes (≈11% spike in activity) signals renewed trader interest and potential short-term volatility.
Price is currently sitting at 0.00010743, up +3.69%, supported by a healthy 24H volume of 8.1M USDT — indicating decent liquidity for continuation. Notably, this is the first alert in 5 days, suggesting this move may mark the start of a new trend phase rather than noise.
📊 Market Takeaway:
Buy-side pressure is dominant in the short term. If volume sustains, a breakout co

Secure the bag? Selling high and always making a profit? I just reduced some positions. A small profit of $1,940. 13,200 yuan. Spot and 5x grid remain unchanged. #BTC $BTC

Currently, for the short positions around 81,000, watch for a pullback to support near 80,000 or focus on the secondary support area first. Only if it breaks below the 80,000 support on a smaller timeframe will it retest the target around 78,000. Long positions can be monitored around this area.
$ETH
Ethereum is positioned around 2,380 for short positions, focusing on a pullback support at 2,350. Only if it breaks below the 2,350 support on a smaller timeframe will it retest the target around 2,320-2,300. Long positions can be watched in this range. #WCTC交易王PK #美国寻求战略比特币储备 #比特币ETF期权持仓限额增4

Post-2000s college student challenges turning 2,000 principal into 100,000 on the sixth day. Sorry, I haven't lost it all yet #WCTC交易王PK $ETH

In the trading industry, there is an unchanging rule: those who follow the main trend tend to live longer and go further; while those who go against the overall momentum usually end up with poor results. The core force of the market is this momentum; operating against it is like an ant trying to stop a chariot—even if you manage to luck out and catch one or two profitable trades, in the end, the market will bite back hard.
Therefore, you must learn to identify the main direction and follow the trend. Don’t always try to fight the market, and don’t foolishly guess where the highest or lowest po

Warmly welcome Mr. Zhang for depositing 10k! On the road ahead, we will work hand in hand, move steadily forward, and create a win-win future!
In the vast sea of people, meeting is fate; from acquaintance to establishing trusting cooperation, this friendship is especially precious. I will always remember this trust, cherish it even more, and never disappoint your support and recognition.

Claude:
You've used 90% of session limit
Me instantly after that:

The market is finally no longer dominated by small players randomly exploding; today, a major public chain ecosystem besides BTC/ETH collectively experienced a surge.
TON series exploded and gained attention today.
SOL series
BNB series
SUI series
All other major ecosystems are also catching up quickly.
@BNBCHAIN @solana @SuiNetwork

It's so strange! Bitcoin is rising alone, but why aren't ETH and SOL moving up? The CME gap is about to be filled, what should we do now?
1. As shown in the chart, the current Bitcoin futures gap is around 82,000 to 83k. According to historical patterns, any BTC futures gap will be filled without exception. So how should we position ourselves?
2. Here's the answer: going long is impossible! Because BTC has already rebounded 35% from 60k to 81.5k, the market is overbought, and it can't keep rising infinitely. So, ruling out chasing longs, the only options left are two: wait and see or go short.

【$FHE Signal】1H momentum decay, pullback adds to strategy
$FHE RSI 4H 74.7, MACD histogram 1H clearly shrinking. Buy depth 1.22 shows orders still exist, but funding rate 0.033% is relatively high, short-term chasing gains offers an extremely unfavorable risk-reward ratio.
🎯Direction: Long (pullback order)
⚡Entry/Order: 0.0265 (selected from the suggested range 0.02345-0.02903)
🛑Stop loss: 0.02099
🚀Target 1: 0.02921
🚀Target 2: 0.02933
🛡️Trade management:
- Reduce 50% at Target 1, move stop loss to entry price. If price drops below 0.0265, automatically exit.
4H Bollinger upper band 0.0285

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Google secures a classified AI contract with the US Department of Defense.
No contract value disclosed.

$SKYAI If this coin is likely to be sold off by the whales in the near future, you might have a question: Why didn't the whales sell at the high point near 0.8 last night?
This question hits the core issue directly and is also the most critical point in distinguishing between "genuine market manipulation" and "a setup."
Not selling at the high last night wasn't because they didn't want to, but because they couldn't, and they dared not.
At that price level, they faced an impossible task:
Lack of enough bagholders to absorb the sell-off.
Think about it, a coin that has risen 3333% over

BTC surprisingly had a retracement back to 80k! The bulls' strategy is small steps, not big leaps!

Funding rates are starting to rise significantly
Shifting from extreme negative values to positive values
Indicating that the market is beginning to form some bullish consensus
But it’s far from the point of crowded longs
I mentioned earlier that extreme negative rates cannot lead to a collapse
The group has also reminded many times, don’t expect a crash, don’t short
All of this has been verified
Following the old dog is definitely very stable

Reference for intraday gold levels on May 5, 2026; not investment advice.
Quarterly level at 4550, weekly level at 4460,
Above: 4588-4673-4717,
Below: 4460-4416-4331.
All major timeframes are at high levels, but internal timeframes' energy has not finished. The weekly level decline is hidden, indicating an invisible weekly downtrend. Watch whether the monthly close can also form an invisible decline; mid-term levels have not finished rising. The 3-hour, 4-hour, 6-hour, and 8-hour levels show a bottom, but the 3-day trend has already broken. Currently, the trend is based on the 5-day le