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Just caught an interesting take from michael van de poppe on Ethereum's current situation. He's been pointing out something that most people seem to miss - while ETH has been relatively flat, the stablecoin activity on the network has been going absolutely wild. Over 18 months, stablecoin volume jumped roughly 200% even though price movement hasn't followed suit yet. That disconnect is actually what he considers bullish.
What's wild is that this pattern isn't new. Van de Poppe dug into the history and found the same thing happened back in 2019 before Ethereum's big run. Price just sat there doing nothing while on-chain activity was exploding, then suddenly it caught up. He's seen this movie before in other crashes too - June 2022 after Luna imploded, March 2020 during the COVID panic, even December 2018 in the bear market. Every time there was this lag between fundamentals improving and price reacting.
The michael van de poppe thesis basically comes down to this: the market doesn't always respond instantly to what's actually happening on chain. There's usually a delay. So if stablecoins are moving around like crazy while price is sleeping, that might be the market giving you a heads up before the move happens. Worth keeping an eye on, especially since ETH is currently trading around 2.35K with solid year-to-date gains. Van de poppe has been pretty consistent about calling these mismatches between activity and price action.