Mid-East news causes market surge! $BTC Jumping up and down 2000 points, how should ordinary people operate? 💥

Yang Guang's BTC precise real-time strategy
📌 First, state the core conclusion: a trend-based crash and plunge will not occur
The current wide-range oscillation is a shakeout action during the rise past the 80k level, not a trend reversal; as long as the core upward driving force does not disappear, there is still momentum for a push higher after the shakeout ends. But if a key negative trigger occurs, there will be a phased deep correction, not a long-term bear market-style crash.
🔑 The core engine of this round of rally — policy favorable expectations have not disappeared
The "American Reserve Modernization Act (ARMA)" has been finalized, with a full House vote scheduled before May 15. The core clause of the bill — "purchase 1 million BTC within 5 years, and include seized BTC into the national strategic reserve" — remains intact. The White House has also clarified that supplementary details on Bitcoin strategic reserves will be released within the next 10 days.
Before the bill is implemented, the market will continue to hype the expectation of "nation-level long-term rigid buying," and Wall Street institutions will not massively dump at this point. This is the underlying support logic for BTC prices; as long as this expectation is not shattered, there will be no indiscriminate crash.
⚠️ Ongoing Middle East geopolitical conflicts still spill over, medium- and long-term price support remains
The conflict between Iran and the UAE has shifted the Middle East situation from "standoff" to "full spillover," with the shipping safety risk in the Strait of Hormuz continuously escalating, and Brent crude oil surpassing $126 per barrel, hitting a 4-year high.
On one hand, geopolitical turmoil boosts global risk aversion sentiment, and more offshore funds view BTC as a borderless safe-haven asset, with safe-haven buying continuing; on the other hand, the surge in oil prices worsens U.S. imported inflation, reinforcing the core narrative of "fiat currency purchasing power dilution," and BTC's anti-inflation properties continue to be priced by the market. This is a medium- to long-term price support.
📊 Trend forecast
Short-term (1-3 trading days): Most likely maintain a wide-range oscillation between 78,800-80,600, with geopolitical news dominating intraday thousand-point fluctuations, no one-sided surge or plunge, core is a shakeout;
Medium-term (1-2 weeks): As long as the ARMA bill progresses smoothly and the Middle East situation does not see substantial easing, after the shakeout ends, BTC is likely to break through the previous high of 80,600, with the first upside target at 81,000-81,200, and after breaking through, the medium-term target looks toward 82,000-85,000.
🎯 Precise strategy
Entry timing: Price retraces to the 79,200-79,400 range
Optimal entry point: around 79,300
Stop-loss setting: Strictly below 78,900
Tiered take-profit:
First target: 80,200-80,400
Second target: 80,800-81,200
🚀 The market never lacks opportunities; what is lacking is the ability to accurately hit the turning points with rhythm and risk control. $BTC ‌#US seeks strategic Bitcoin reserves