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When the funding rate hits an extreme, the group starts arguing right away: should we go take the other side and grab a bit? For my part, I actually choose “to hide” more often instead—not because I’m scared of volatility, but because I’m afraid that if I get too stirred up, I’ll lose my discipline. To put it plainly: if the funding rate can get to that kind of extreme, market sentiment has already stopped being rational. If you go as the other side, what you win is often just luck—what you lose is usually position management.
Besides, those on-chain data tools and labeling systems have recently been getting sprayed for being “laggy” and “easy to mislead,” and I kind of relate. You think you’re seeing what the smart money is doing, but it might just be that you’ve been slapped with a story. Anyway, my approach is to patch here and there—small tweaks, small fixes: if the funding rate is outrageous, I’ll first cut leverage and reduce my position. If I really want to go against it, I only try with a small step—if I’m wrong, I admit it. I trust the process, but if I don’t tighten up the execution details, no matter how beautiful the process looks, it can’t save me.