Evening BTC/ETH Forecast and Analysis

I. BTC

1. Core Market Signals
- Clear rebound-failure structure: surged high to 80,597 intraday, then quickly reversed downward, forming a "peak + long bearish candle" bearish pattern. The bullish momentum has been completely exhausted, and a short-term top is in place.
- Key support break confirmation: During the decline from the high point, it successively broke through two critical integer levels at 80,000 and 79,600, with a low of 78,146.8. The bullish defense was continuously breached, and the bears fully dominated the market.
- Weak rebound confirmation: Current price at 78,863.8, with the rebound only touching the lower boundary of the previous breakdown zone, a typical "breakdown followed by a rebound confirmation." The strong resistance zone at 79,500-80,000 has locked in the rebound space.

2. Evening Short Strategy
- Entry zone: Staggered short positions within 79,200-79,800, with 80,200 as the stop-loss level (a breakout indicates invalid trend judgment, exit promptly).
- Target zone: First target: 78,000-78,200 (near the intraday low for short-term profit-taking)
- Second target: 77,200-77,500 (if volume breaks downward, look toward the previous oscillation platform's lower boundary)

II. ETH

1. Core Market Signals
- Forming a double top in sync with BTC: surged to 2,399.87 intraday, then quickly declined, showing high resonance with BTC. Also forming a peak + decline pattern, with the 2,400 level acting as a strong resistance ceiling.
- Key support break confirmation: During the decline from the high, it broke through two key supports at 2,360 and 2,340, with a low of 2,310.81. The bullish defense was completely defeated, and a clear bearish trend emerged.
- Weak rebound strength: Current price at 2,337.08, with the rebound limited to a narrow range between 2,330-2,345, unable to break through the previous breakdown platform. The resistance zone at 2,360-2,380 is strong, limiting the rebound height.

2. Evening Short Strategy
- Entry zone: Staggered short positions within 2,350-2,370, with 2,390 as the stop-loss level (breakout indicates abandoning the short idea).
- Target zone: First target: 2,310-2,320 (near the intraday low for short-term profit-taking)
- Second target: 2,280-2,290 (if BTC drives a downward break, look toward the support of the previous oscillation platform)