Today’s market is really flipping back and forth—again and again! CCTV and other media just reported that Iran launched missiles at a U.S. warship and claimed to have “hit the target.” The market instantly crashed by 2,000 points, and risk-averse sentiment surged. But the plot quickly reversed—U.S. officials urgently denied that they had been attacked, and the market also rapidly pulled back upward. Setting aside interference from whether the news is true or false, my personal judgment is: it was definitely struck—but the key is whether it actually hit. Iran needs to display a tough posture; the U.S., meanwhile, is doing everything to avoid escalation into a direct confrontation. For now, it looks more like a “tacitly out-of-control” situation.

Just because neither side wants to go all out and fight, the market is unlikely to break through in a single direction. Instead, it will likely experience violent oscillations around a large range. Although the news flow is chaotic, the geopolitical risk premium has already raised the “floor” price. On the upside as well, there is selling pressure after emotions cool off. In this kind of environment, chasing after strength and cutting after weakness is most likely to get hit from both sides. A “buy high from the air, sell low” range strategy is therefore more suitable.

For specific execution: pay attention to the short-selling opportunities in the 795-803 area above; for the downside, look for long-entry layout points in the 776-766 area. Don’t let the news lead you by the nose! Instead, watch the key levels and trade the oscillation! The so-called drawing of lines isn’t about predicting future candles, but about responding to the market’s extreme emotions! Within the range—sell high and buy low!
$BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币ETF期权持仓限额增4倍 #美联储利率不变但内部分歧加剧 #美国寻求战略比特币储备