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About the Ethereum Daily Chart Trading Plan
1. Entry Points (Split into two trades to avoid missing the move)
• First Entry (Trial position): 2290 - 2310
This is the support zone of EMA10 + EMA30, also near the midpoint of the daily central zone.
• Second Entry (Adding position): 2250 - 2270
This is the retest confirmation level of the upper boundary of the central zone, a standard zone for the second buy in Chanlun daily analysis.
2. Stop Loss (Key risk control)
• Unified Stop Loss: 2180 (below the lower boundary of the central zone)
Reason:
◦ 2190 is the lower boundary of the daily central zone. If it is effectively broken downward, the upward trend on the daily chart is likely weakening, and an exit is necessary.
◦ Calculated with 50x leverage and 2% position size:
◦ Falling from 2300 to 2180 is about a 5.2% decline.
◦ With 50x leverage, this drop would cause your position to lose about 5.2% × 50 = 260%, but since you only used 2% of your capital, the actual loss is only 2% × 5.2% × 50 = 5.2%, which is within an acceptable risk range.
3. Target Levels & Holding Period
• First target: 2460 (near previous high)
After reaching, you can reduce your position by half, move the stop loss to the cost basis, and hold the remaining position for a breakout.
• Second target: 2600+ (upside potential after breaking the central zone)
• Holding period: 1-3 trading days (short-term). If a breakout of the previous high occurs, hold for 1-2 weeks (swing trading).
Second, Short Selling Plan (Only suitable for short-term testing, not recommended for long-term holding)
Short selling is a contrarian trade, suitable only for catching daily chart pullbacks in swings, not for heavy or long-term positions.
1. Entry Point (Only one safe position)
• Entry zone: 2440 - 2460 (near previous high)
Reason: This is the consolidation divergence zone of the prior upward move, a potential Chanlun secondary sell position.
2. Stop Loss (Must be strictly enforced)
• Stop Loss: 2490 (above previous high)
Reason: If the price breaks above 2463 previous high, the daily upward trend will continue, and short positions must be closed unconditionally.
◦ From 2450 to 2490 is about a 1.6% increase.
◦ With 50x leverage, your position would lose about 1.6% × 50 = 80%, but since only 2% of your capital is used, the actual loss is only 2% × 1.6% × 50 = 1.6%, making the risk manageable.
3. Target Levels & Holding Period
• First target: 2320 - 2350 (short-term moving average support)
• Second target: 2270 (central zone midpoint support)
• Holding period: Only 1-3 trading days. Exit at the target level; do not hold overnight.