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Earning within cognition, holding a position within the boundary of ability, not gambling on luck, only betting on market patterns. The market has never rewarded emotions, only patience, discipline, and risk control. When prices surge, don’t get carried away; when prices drop sharply, don’t panic. Only those who can withstand volatility deserve the profits.
This morning, Bitcoin oscillated upward from 78,463 to a high of 79,199, then faced resistance and fell back to 78,111. Ethereum moved in sync with Bitcoin, rising from 2,306 to a high of 2,342, then retraced to a low of 2,298 before slightly increasing again.
The price previously rebounded from the lower Bollinger Band (lowest 74,868), touching near the upper band (79,455), and has now fallen back above the middle band. The Bollinger Bands remain expanding, indicating short-term volatility has not converged, but the upper band’s resistance is obvious. If it cannot quickly return above 79,000, it’s likely to retest the middle band at around 77,385 for support.
The MACD red histogram continues to shorten, and the gap between DIF and DEA narrows gradually, indicating the four-hour upward momentum is waning. Combining the new high in price with weakening indicator momentum, there is a potential short-term divergence risk, and traders should be alert to the continuation of a correction.
Bitcoin: Short around 78,600, target: 77,000
Ethereum: Short around 2,350, target: 2,200