ETH surges with a stagnation signal confirmed! Above 2300 is a "trap zone," and the intraday pullback window opens.

Current Price: 2302.25

To start with the conclusion: ETH has entered a short-term high-level consolidation and weakening phase, characterized by “diminishing momentum after a surge + increasing divergence.” The current structure leans more toward consolidation and pullback rather than continued bullish breakout.

  1. 4-Hour Level: Stagnation at High Levels, Momentum Begins to Fade

Failed to sustain volume during the surge to 2330-2350 range High-level candlestick bodies shrink, divergence becomes evident MACD at high levels shows weakening, red bars gradually shorten Bollinger Band upper band flattens, price pulls back toward the middle band

Core judgment: The 4-hour chart is in a weak correction phase after an uptrend

  1. 1-Hour Level: Short-term Structure Turns Bearish

Shows a “surge → pullback → weak rebound” pattern Multiple rebounds are resisted in the 2315-2330 range Moving averages begin to turn downward MACD enters a bearish zone with increasing volume

Short-term rhythm: Weak rebound + stair-step decline

  1. Intraday Trend Projection

If unable to regain above 2320:

More likely to consolidate and pull back intraday First test support around 2280 If broken, may extend to the 2255 area

  1. Direct Trading Strategy (as required)

Direction: Short (market order to open position)

Entry Price: Around 2302.25

Take Profit:

First TP: 2279 (about -1%) Second TP: 2256 (about -2%)

Stop Loss:

Stop Loss Level: 2337 (about +1.5%)

ETH0.74%
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