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Recently, I've come across a bunch of discussions about LST/re-staking again, and I’m a bit slow to react… Everyone is calculating points, guessing whether the mainnet will issue tokens, while I’m still flipping through contracts to see where the returns are actually coming from. To put it simply, the returns are just a few types: rewards from consensus/staking itself, renting out the same security to other protocols for service fees, plus various incentive subsidies (especially like those on testnets). The first two are somewhat understandable, but the third kind is more like emotional fuel—once it stops, it’s over.
The risks are also pretty straightforward: there’s the risk of penalties or node misbehavior at the underlying staking layer, and on top of that, there’s the risk of contract bugs, oracle/liquidation mechanisms, liquidity squeezes (like everyone trying to exit at the same time). I basically see “more layers of yield = more layers of breakpoints I don’t understand,” and I only want to try a little with my pocket money… Anyway, just stay alive first, don’t expect to get rich from guessing airdrops.