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Next week (5.4–5.10), BTC will first fluctuate and shake out before choosing a direction. The overall tone is bullish but not a direct surge; it’s a pattern of wearing out retail investors’ patience before a rally. Don’t be affected by the back-and-forth swings in the middle.
Currently, BTC is consolidating around 77,000–78,000, with institutional funds continuously flowing in, ETF purchases exceeding $2.1 billion for nine consecutive days, and whale holdings also increasing, making the bottom more solid. The 80,000 level is a tough nut; options market pressure is heavy, making it hard to break through in one go. It requires repeated testing to absorb selling pressure. The 75,000–76,000 range is a strong support, the recent correction zone where prices stabilize. If it drops, it will be quickly bought up.
Long positions (core idea, mainly low buying)
First entry point: 75,500–76,000, lightly enter, stop loss at 74,800 (if broken, exit immediately, don’t hold), target 78,000–79,000
Second entry point: retest 74,500–75,000, add more longs, stop loss at 73,800, target 79,500–80,000
Breakout addition: effectively stabilize above 79,500, chase longs, stop loss at 78,800, target 82,000–84,000
Short positions (only short-term, take profit when good)
Short-term short: 78,500–79,000, lightly try shorting, stop loss at 79,800, target 77,000–76,500
Strong resistance short: 79,500–80,000, second short, stop loss at 80,500, target 77,500–76,800, break below to watch 75,500
During consolidation, avoid frequent trading. It’s normal to sweep back and forth in the first half of next week. Control your hands, only trade key levels.
The 80,000 level will repeatedly test; the first attempt is likely to fall back. Don’t chase high; wait for a pullback to buy lower for more stability.
Position management: total long position not exceeding 30%, short positions not exceeding 10%. Don’t go all-in; leave room to handle volatility.
Keep an eye on Fed moves and Middle East situation. If there’s a sudden change, adjust stop losses promptly. Don’t hold through hard.
Next week, BTC will shake out first and then rise. The safest low buy zone is 75,500–76,000. Don’t chase high below 80,000; wait for a breakout and then look at 84,000. The rhythm is more important than specific levels. Don’t be shaken out by the washout.