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BTC price is approximately $76,500, with a 24-hour fluctuation of about ±0.5%, showing a range-bound oscillation.
ETH price is about $2,260, down 0.5% in 24 hours, weaker than BTC.
SOL price is around $83, down 0.8% in 24 hours, in a low-level consolidation phase.
📉 Technical outlook: The night before a trend reversal
BTC key levels: support at $74,800 to $75,000, resistance at $77,000 to $78k. Currently consolidating below 76k with reduced volume, whether it’s a “downtrend continuation” or a “bottoming rebound” depends on whether it can break through the 78,000 level with increased volume.
ETH trend: Strong support around $2,220, but needs to break through $2,275 to turn bullish. Overall still following the market, lacking independent momentum.
Market sentiment: Fear and Greed Index is about 29, in the fear zone, with significant disagreement between bulls and bears, short-term volatility may increase.
🌍 Macro and regulatory outlook
Federal Reserve: No change in interest rates and no expectation of rate cuts this year, short-term liquidity has been drained, and the market is digesting this fact.
US regulatory progress: The Crypto Market Structure Act has entered the review stage, and if passed, it will provide long-term certainty, but short-term uncertainties still remain.