5.1 Holiday market undercurrents are surging, how will the start of May unfold?

As of 8 a.m. on May 1st, the overall crypto market is fluctuating within a narrow range, with the total global market capitalization maintaining around $2.65 trillion.
BTC is priced at $77,005, down 2.75% in 24 hours, losing the key level of $78k; ETH is at $2,264, down 0.59% in 24 hours, weaker than the market; SOL and XRP lead the decline among mainstream coins, falling 1.82% and 3.87% respectively, while SOL's Meme on the chain shows a clear divergence, with PENGU surging nearly 9% in a single day against the trend.
In key news: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision kept rates unchanged, with hawkish market expectations largely digested; Grayscale officially submitted a Solana spot ETF application to the SEC, bringing new compliance expectations to the L1 track; Hong Kong's first batch of stablecoin licenses have been officially issued, with a compliant Hong Kong dollar stablecoin expected to launch by mid-year; 344 million USDT linked to Iran on-chain has been frozen, as global stablecoin regulation continues to tighten.
Personal opinion: During the holiday, market liquidity is relatively low, and price fluctuations are easily amplified, so avoid blindly chasing gains or panicking sell-offs. The core game in the current market remains the dual tug-of-war between institutional compliance strategies and tightening global regulation. In the short term, a consolidation pattern is likely to persist, with May focusing on ETF approval progress and macro policy developments.