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Rafael López Aliaga's probability of winning the 2026 Peruvian presidential election drops by 37.0 percentage points in a single day

2026-05-01 02:51:03

ME News Report, April 14th (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that under the event “Peru Presidential Election Winner,” the probability of the “Yes” option for the question “Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election” decreased from 61.5% to 24.5%, a single-day drop of 37.0 percentage points.

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