Recently, there has been an increasing number of "coincidental transfers" on the blockchain: A just received money and immediately transfers it to B, B quickly responds to C, at first glance it looks like money laundering or market manipulation, but breaking down the path reveals it's not that mysterious. Many are routing, aggregators swapping tokens, cross-chain bridges transferring, or simply the same person splitting addresses to gather gas. Looking further, analyzing contract interactions and timestamps can explain about 80-90% of the cases.

Lately, testnet incentives and point expectations have caused a lot of excitement, and everyone is guessing whether the mainnet will issue tokens. I'm actually more worried about being caught up in "task anxiety" and signing things recklessly. Thinking about it later, it's quite funny—despite claiming to have principles for self-custody, I almost clicked on a strange link just for some points... Anyway, now when I see transfers from unknown sources, I treat it as a reminder: don’t get excited, first understand the path clearly before acting.