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ETH Market Analysis
2026/4/30
Valid for four hours
20-24 Jingxing
Main Path
2346 high point → one-way decline
→ 2218 stops the fall → weak rebound
→ current rebound rises to around 2260 and meets resistance
Current Structure:
Decline → Stop the fall → Weak rebound → sideways compression
Side Path
If volume breaks through 2265
→ rebound continues → look for 2285-2300
If pressure continues and it falls again
→ retest 2240 / 2220
Support Levels
2250 (current support)
2240 (short-term support)
2220 (key support)
Resistance Levels
2265 (current resistance/pressure)
2285 (rebound pressure)
2300 (strong resistance/pressure)
Alternative Path
Upward:
Break through 2265 and hold steady
→ short-term turns stronger
→ rebound room opens
Downward:
Break below 2240
→ rebound fails
→ return to the bearish rhythm
Currently in the rebound phase (not a reversal)
→ bearish bias dominates
→ long positions only for short-term trades
Rhythm Summary
Decline → stop the fall → rebound → sideways → wait for direction
Technical Structural Features
15m:
Consolidates with higher highs but no breakout
High points are clearly under pressure
→ rebound structure
MACD:
Staying near the zero line
Histogram shortens
→ insufficient momentum
RSI:
Hovers around 50
→ bulls and bears balanced but slightly weaker
1H:
Still in a downtrend
Rebound lacks volume
→ overhead pressure remains
Conclusion
Now is not an uptrend
It’s a repair/adjustment phase after the decline