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๐บ๐ธ FOMC Decision Today - Powell's Last Dance
Schedule (ET):
๐น Rate Decision โ 2:00 PM
๐น Powell Press Conference โ 2:30 PM
๐น IST โ 11:30 PM / 12:00 AM
Expected: Rates HOLD at 3.50%โ3.75% (third straight pause). 100% priced in.
Why it still matters:
This is Powell's final FOMC before Kevin Warsh takes over in May. No SEP this meeting โ every word in the presser is the signal.
What to watch:
โช๏ธ Tone on sticky inflation (CPI hot at 3.3%)
โช๏ธ Energy shock from Iran war
โช๏ธ Hints on June cut path
โช๏ธ Powell's farewell guidance
Crypto Impact:
Hawkish tone โ BTC/Alts dump
Dovish tilt โ risk-on rally
Neutral โ liquidity grab both sides
Volatility window: 2:00 โ 3:30 PM ET. Tight stops. Don't fade the wick.