Tonight's Federal Reserve (FOMC) interest rate decision will be officially announced at 02:00 Beijing time the next day (April 30), followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Powell at 02:30.

Based on the trading rhythm you just mentioned, this decision tonight is very likely to be "hold steady." Here are a few key pieces of information to focus on tonight:

🎯 Core expectation: Likely to keep rates unchanged

The market consensus is very clear: the Federal Reserve will maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% - 3.75% without change.

The logic behind this: U.S. inflation remains sticky (core PCE price index still above the 2% target), coupled with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East causing fluctuations in international oil prices. The Fed's primary task now is to "maintain stability in the face of change" to prevent a rebound in inflation.

Future rate cut expectations: Although there will be no rate hike or cut this time, the latest dot plot forecasts suggest only one rate cut by 2026, with the first cut likely delayed until September or October.

👀 Tonight's trading focus

For traders, the decision itself ("no change") has probably already been priced in by the market, and the real volatility may come from the following two points:

Powell's speech (02:30): This could be Powell's "last dance" in his term (which ends on May 15). His tone will directly influence short-term sentiment. Pay close attention to his comments on the impact of Middle East tensions on the economy and the future interest rate path.

Subsequent economic data: Tomorrow evening (April 30), the U.S. will also release Q1 GDP and March PCE inflation data. These figures will further reveal the actual impact of Middle East conflicts on the economy and could trigger a secondary wave of market volatility tonight. #WCTC交易王PK #加密市场小幅下跌 #Polymarket每日热点