#BTC Early morning fundamental double kill???

Generally, before major fundamentals arrive, the price will first move within a tight range of fluctuation. This is to build strength for the fundamentals that come next. During the daytime white session, it is a slow grind upward: institutions keep buying continuously at low levels. So the contradiction comes—before the results of the fundamentals are released, will the bulls advance early to liquidate the bears, and then in the evening trigger a waterfall to liquidate the bulls? Or will they first push just below the bears’ psychological defense line, wait for the early-morning fundamentals to come out, and then strongly rally to liquidate the bears? After that, will there be a sharp pullback that liquidates the bulls as well?

In theory, the possibility of first pushing higher to clear the bears is lower. Today’s white session shows a slow upward climb, but the move is mild; it feels more like bears closing positions than active buying. If someone wants to “liquidate the bears,” they would need to violently surge and break through the $79,500–$80,000 resistance zone. But that would consume a large amount of capital, and it would leave huge downside room for the “waterfall” after the early-morning news—making it extremely difficult to control the market.

The more likely scenario is “press first, then push,” and then clear out the bears. During the daytime/evening, a slight pressure helps wear down the bears’ psychological defense. After the early-morning news, a strong rally to clear the bears is followed immediately by a large pullback that liquidates the chasing bulls. Using the news to create violent volatility—clearing the bears first, then killing the bulls—matches the typical “liquidity hunting” playbook.

This time, the likelihood of a double kill against the bears is higher. Don’t chase small orders in the evening—be cautious. You can go lightly, first watch the “tea needle,” and keep to a small range where things settle. If it breaks 80,000, the expectation is that it won’t directly hold its ground; there will be a larger pullback. #加密市场小幅下跌