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#BTC I just mentioned that "Vosh" is stepping onto the stage, with short-term pressure and long-term benefits. So the impact of the Federal Reserve rate decision and Powell's speech at 2 a.m. on Bitcoin...
The rate expectation is unchanged, still 3.75%. It has little impact on Bitcoin.
But if the announced value exceeds expectations, it’s bearish for Bitcoin; if it’s below expectations, it’s bullish for Bitcoin.
What needs to be "closely watched" is whether Powell’s speech is hawkish or dovish. Hawkish: emphasizing stubborn inflation and delaying rate cuts, leading to downward pressure. Dovish: hinting at a rate cut in June and slowing balance sheet reduction, initially dropping then rising.
These two points are just small moves; don’t be fooled. The real direction is set at 2:30. So, in the early morning, there will be a small shake, followed by a slight unilateral move.
The forecast leans more towards a "Li Kong" scenario than a "Li Duo." #加密市场小幅下跌