Federal Reserve Event Recap + Key Crypto Price Levels + How to Time the Next Phase (Can Be Directly Shared on Social Media)

## Core Summary

Two major developments will land tonight:

1. The Senate confirmation of Wosh went smoothly. On May 15, he will officially take over as the Federal Reserve Chair. His hawkish stance is clear: he supports maintaining high interest rates and continuing balance sheet reduction. He also recognizes Bitcoin’s “digital gold” attributes and takes a relatively inclusive attitude toward crypto compliance.
2. Powell’s concluding remarks were fully hawkish. He said inflation remains stubborn and won’t give in. Expectations for rate cuts this year have been pushed back significantly, and even the outlook for rate cuts across the full year has cooled down. In the short term, market liquidity is unlikely to loosen.

## Direct Impact on the Crypto Market

**Short term:** Expectations of tighter liquidity weigh on the broader market. Big upside gains are hard to come by—most likely a choppy grind to test the lows, and any rebounds will face pressure.
**Mid term:** The Federal Reserve’s policy will remain highly consistent, and crypto regulation is moving toward standardization. Compliant leaders such as BTC and ETH are more resilient against downside, while small-cap “tuo gou” coins will likely perform worse.

## Key Trading Levels

### BTC

Support: 74000–74500 (strong support—if it doesn’t break, this is the bottom of the trading range)
Resistance: 77800–78200 (short-term rebound ceiling; only a breakout could help repair the trend)

### ETH

Support: 2250
Resistance: 2380

## Next Steps: Trading Rhythm

Overall, the coming week is likely to be mostly range-bound. Avoid chasing highs; keep positions light.
Near the lower support, you can try small position trials. When price reaches the upper resistance, prioritize reducing exposure and taking profits.
Be patient and wait for the Federal Reserve’s subsequent marginal policy signals. Before there’s a liquidity inflection point, don’t take heavy bets on a one-way surge.