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Thursday at 2:00 AM Federal Reserve decision: 99.5% probability of keeping interest rates unchanged. Market volatility depends entirely on the wording of Jerome Powell’s speech, rate-cut expectations, and the pace of balance sheet reduction—there is no possibility of an unexpected rate hike.
Hawkish commentary (rate cuts delayed, high interest rates for longer): the US dollar and US Treasury yields rise, bearish for crypto.
Dovish commentary (signals for rate cuts, slow down balance sheet reduction): expectations for looser liquidity heat up, bullish for crypto.
Neutral wording: the market buys expectations and sells the fact; wide-range consolidation and volatility.
Key levels to watch for BTC and ETH price action.
Big cake (BTC) trading range: 73,000-78,000.
Support level: 72,000; if it breaks, look for 70,000.
Resistance level: 78,000; if it breaks through, look for 80,000.
Small cake (ETH) trend is stronger than BTC, with less room for pullbacks.
Support level: 2,250-2,300.
Resistance level: 2,400.
After the decision, it’s easy to see a surge followed by a pullback / a dip followed by a rebound—do not blindly chase orders. Wait until signals are confirmed before entering; focus on the wording in Jerome Powell’s press conference, which will determine the short-term market direction. #WCTC交易王PK