📊April 29 15:23 $SOL #s Afternoon technical analysis trend is bearish for one hour

(For reference only) (Current price can directly enter)

Current price: 84.60 (sol) indicates high-level oscillation + golden cross诱多, the long-term downtrend has not reversed, rebound to short is more likely to succeed.

1. Trend Logic

1. Golden Cross Trap (Core)

• 1H MACD Golden Cross: Short-term诱多, 4H/daily still in a downtrend (price below EMA50).

• Historical pattern: Golden cross at high level + shrinking volume, often indicates main force pushing up to unload, not trend reversal.

2. Key Resistance Suppression

• Strong resistance above: 85.5–86.0 (4H EMA50 + concentrated chips), 87.8–88.0 (previous high).

• Current price 84.60 is at the lower edge of resistance, limited rebound space, high probability of falling back upon encountering resistance.

3. Funds and Structure

• Funding rate slightly negative, bears favored; 4H head and shoulders pattern, neckline at 86.0, if not broken, remain bearish.

• RSI (1H) at 40, neutral to weak, no strong buying pressure, rebound likely to fail.

2. Short Position Strategy (around 84.60)

Entry (2 options)

• Enter short directly at 84.5–84.8 (light position).

• Add to short at 85.5–85.8 after rebound (heavy position, stop loss controllable).

• Position: 10–15% (10–20x leverage).

Strict Stop Loss

• First stop loss: 86.2 (breaks 4H EMA50,诱多转强).

• Ultimate stop loss: 88.2 (above previous high, prevent false breakout).

Take Profit (in stages)

• TP1: 82.8–83.2 (24H low + short-term support, reduce position by 50%).

• TP2: 80.5–81.0 (strong support zone, reduce position by 30%).

• TP3: 78.0–78.5 (oscillation lower edge, remaining 20% for speculation).

3. Golden Cross Response (Prevent Reversal)

• If 1H stabilizes above 86.0 with increased volume: close short positions to stop loss, wait 2 hours before deciding.

• If breaks below 84.0 with increased volume: add small short position, stop loss as before.