ETH is currently in a "trend framework still intact, short-term momentum weakening, and a trend reversal approaching" state. The daily oversold condition + 4-hour divergence provides a rebound opportunity, but increased selling volume and low fear index indicate market confidence is lacking. The Bollinger Bands narrowing suggests a high probability of a directional breakout in the next 1-2 weeks—key resistance at 2,371-2,400, support at 2,258-2,283. The divergence between on-chain active addresses reaching a new high and the price trend is a positive mid-term signal worth paying attention to. Marxist flying saucer.