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April 29th, 1-Hour BTC+ETH Short-term Trading Plan
I. Specific Entry Points
Trade 1: Bitcoin BTC Short Position Main
1. Direction: Short
2. Leverage: 10x
3. Timeframe: 1 Hour
4. Initial Position: 76,900, 5% of capital
5. Add Position: 78,600, 10% of capital
6. Stop Loss: $500
7. Take Profit: First target: 75,800 Second target: 75,000
8. Win Probability: 9 points
Trade 2: Bitcoin BTC Long Position Auxiliary
1. Direction: Long
2. Leverage: 10x
3. Timeframe: 1 Hour
4. Initial Position: 75,800, 5% of capital
5. Add Position: 74,000, 10% of capital
6. Stop Loss: $500
7. Take Profit: First target: 76,800 Second target: 78,500
8. Win Probability: 8 points
Trade 3: Ethereum ETH Short Position Main
1. Direction: Short
2. Leverage: 10x
3. Timeframe: 1 Hour
4. Initial Position: 2,303, 5% of capital
5. Add Position: 2,345, 10% of capital
6. Stop Loss: $30
7. Take Profit: First target: 2,260 Second target: 2,165
8. Win Probability: 9 points
Trade 4: Ethereum ETH Long Position Auxiliary
1. Direction: Long
2. Leverage: 10x
3. Timeframe: 1 Hour
4. Initial Position: 2,260, 5% of capital
5. Add Position: 2,165, 10% of capital
6. Stop Loss: $30
7. Take Profit: First target: 2,300 Second target: 2,345
8. Win Probability: 8 points
II. Trading Analysis
1. Reasons for Short Positions:
Currently, the medium- to long-term market remains a bear market. The safest approach is to short on rallies. Global economy is unstable, spillover effects from war, crypto funds are scarce, greed index rising, upward momentum weak, encountering natural resistance at the 169 and 200-day moving averages.
The safest method is to short at previous resistance levels. With global instability, there are countless reasons for prices to rise, but only one reason for them to fall!
2. Reasons for Long Positions:
Currently, the daily moving averages show a bearish death cross. When prices fall sharply, take contrarian quick profits with a rebound, adopting a low-buy strategy in the short to medium term.
However, when going long at current levels, pay close attention to risk. Only after a pullback can light positions be taken long. The market is still in a mid-term bear phase, and medium- to long-term, the main strategy remains short on rallies.
III. Strict Execution:
1. Do not place orders before reaching the designated levels.
2. Do not open positions without stop loss and take profit.
3. Holding a position without risk management is foolish!
4. Water is vast, only take a ladle!
5. Success is not about who wins more in a single trade, but how long you can survive in the crypto world!