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Recently, someone asked me again, "Should I follow when a certain whale buys?"
I now basically pause for three seconds first: what you see might be building a position, or just hedging, or even insuring the other side's position.
The on-chain activity, just looking at the direction is too easy to imagine wrongly; it's best to also quickly scan other addresses / lending changes on the same protocol at the same time.
Otherwise, if you jump in blindly, it might be that they are locking in risk, while you're just running naked.
Airdrop season is also quite surreal, with task platforms becoming increasingly ruthless against anti-witch activities, and the points system making farming tokens as competitive as clocking in at work...
I personally prefer to treat "reproducible steps" as the main line, rather than disrupting the rhythm just to chase whales.
Honestly, I now leave a "backup" for my operations: not taking a single signal as the truth, entering and exiting in stages, keeping some bullets, so that if I really hit a雷, I can still withdraw with dignity.
That's all for now.