1. BTC

Current price: 76,700–76,900
Rhythm: After topping out at 79,500, it fell back; high-level consolidation is relatively weak.

Daily: 20/50 EMA (73,400–74,900) support remains effective, and the long-term bullish structure is intact. Above 78,600–79,500 is a strong resistance zone; rebound momentum is insufficient, the MACD red bars are shrinking, so be alert for a second pullback.

4-hour: Price breaks below short-term moving averages, with bears taking the lead. Support at 75,600/73,400; resistance at 77,500/78,600.

Short-term: The overall price action is trading within the 73,400–78,600 range. It’s bearish in the short term, and rebounds mainly favor shorting from higher levels. As long as 73,400 holds, the medium-term bullish setup remains unchanged.

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2. ETH

Current price: 2,290–2,295
Rhythm: It moves in tandem with BTC’s pullback; the rebound is near its end, and the trend is relatively weak.

Daily: Short-term moving averages provide a floor; EMA120 (2,380–2,400) forms strong overhead resistance. MACD bullish momentum is fading, and the market is consolidating within a range. Support: 2,260–2,280 / 2,180–2,200; resistance: 2,340–2,370 / 2,400.

4-hour: Downward oscillation; MACD death cross is expanding. 2,260–2,280 is the core defense zone; if it breaks, it will likely turn lower toward 2,200.

Short-term: Sideways consolidation between 2,200–2,370, operating weakly. Buy on dips for support; sell into rallies at resistance.

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3. Intraday Trading

Asset Direction Entry Range Stop Loss Target
BTC Short 77,500–78,300 78,800 76,000–75,600
BTC Long 73,800–74,200 73,300 76,500–77,000
ETH Long 2,265–2,280 2,235 2,340–2,400
ETH Short 2,345–2,370 2,400 2,290–2,260

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4. Summary

· BTC: Weak consolidation at high levels. In the short term, prioritize short positions; if key support is not broken, maintain the medium-term long thesis.
· ETH: Moves in line with the weakness; mainly range-trading for arbitrage. Use strict stop-losses and trade with a light, steady position. $BTC $ETH