Tuesday, urgent notice—switch to shorting; enter the long-term layout

The Federal Reserve interest rate decision is about to be released. At this point, yesterday’s rise-then-drop has already played out the “buy the expectation” phase, followed by the “sell the fact” process. This cycle is relatively short, and the transition happens very quickly. Put simply: that wave of highs to 79,500 yesterday already cashed in the positive news. Now the situation is bearish—mainstream coins are breaking down, and altcoins are collapsing!

The US–Israel situation has gradually turned into a smaller-scale reflection of the Russia-Ukraine war. Its impact on the crypto space will only keep getting smaller. There have been too many “wolf is coming” routines before, and a trust crisis has emerged. The market no longer buys it. Even if there is a ceasefire later, it won’t change the big direction. The month-end window is here—don’t chase the highs!

From a technical structure perspective: the second test of the 79,500 area did not continue, and it plunged straight down as soon as it was touched. This shows that the pressure above is enormous. The double top suppression has formed, and there is already an early hint of a top divergence on the daily chart. We still need to return to a short-bias mindset—after all, the bear market has not ended yet. For now, we are not considering going long.

Long-term layout—going in

On Bitcoin operations: it is recommended to place a 3% light short in the 77,000-78,000 area. Keep reserve capital to add 3% around 80,000. Add 4% on rebounds in the 80500-81500 area. Targets are 71200 / 65000 / 58000 in sequence.

On Ethereum operations: it is recommended to place a 3% light short in the 2280-2315 area. Keep reserve capital to add 3% around 2420. Add 4% on rebounds in the 2485-2550 area. Targets are 2180 / 1950 / 1500 in sequence.

The long-awaited long-term layout—finally coming. This strategy is for reference only; everyone should make reasonable arrangements based on their own situation.#加密市场小幅下跌