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April 28th, 1-hour BTC+ETH short-term trades
I. Specific Entry Points
Trade 1: Bitcoin BTC Short Position Main
1. Direction: Short
2. Leverage: 10x
3. Timeframe: 1 hour
4. Initial Position 77,800 Position Size: 5%
5. Add Position: 79,200 Position Size: 10%
6. Stop Loss: $500
7. Take Profit: First TP level: 76,600 Second TP level: 73,900
8. Win Probability: 9 points
Trade 2: Bitcoin BTC Long Position Auxiliary
1. Direction: Long
2. Leverage: 10x
3. Timeframe: 1 hour
4. Initial Position 76,600 Position Size: 5%
5. Add Position: 73,900 Position Size: 10%
6. Stop Loss: $500
7. Take Profit: First TP level: 77,900 Second TP level: 79,200
8. Win Probability: 8 points
Trade 3: Ethereum ETH Short Position Main
1. Direction: Short
2. Leverage: 10x
3. Timeframe: 1 hour
4. Initial Position 2,360 Position Size: 5%
5. Add Position: 2,460 Position Size: 10%
6. Stop Loss: $30
7. Take Profit: First TP level: 2,260 Second TP level: 2,165
8. Win Probability: 9 points
Trade 4: Ethereum ETH Long Position Auxiliary
1. Direction: Long
2. Leverage: 10x
3. Timeframe: 1 hour
4. Initial Position: 2,260 Position Size: 5%
5. Add Position: 2,165 Position Size: 10%
6. Stop Loss: $30
7. Take Profit: First TP level: 2,360 Second TP level: 2,460
8. Win Probability: 8 points
II. Trade Analysis
1. Reasons for Short Positions:
Currently, the medium- to long-term market remains a bear market, the safest approach is to short on rallies. Global economy is unstable, spillover effects from wars, crypto market funds are scarce, greed index is rising, upward momentum is weak, and it encounters natural resistance at the 169 and 200-day moving averages.
The safest method is to short at previous resistance levels during upward moves. With global instability, there are countless reasons for prices to rise, but only one reason for them to fall!
2. Reasons for Long Positions:
Currently, the daily moving averages are in a bullish alignment, so a short- to medium-term strategy is to buy on dips. However, when going long at current prices, more attention to risk is necessary. Only after a pullback can small positions be taken long. The market is still in a mid-term bear phase, so medium- to long-term positions should mainly be shorted on rallies.
III. Strict Execution:
1. Do not open a position unless the price hits the designated level
2. Do not open a position without stop loss and take profit
3. Holding a position without risk management is foolish!
4. Water from the three thousand is enough; only take one ladle!
5. Flowing water does not compete to be first; only strive to be continuous. It’s not about how much you win in one trade, but how long you can survive in the crypto world!