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Polymarket "The Strait of Hormuz shipping volume will return to normal before April 30" probability briefly rises to 57%, up 43% in 24 hours
ME News message. On April 8 (UTC+8), Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the event probability on Polymarket that “Strait of Hormuz shipping volume returns to normal before April 30” has risen to about 57%, up approximately 43% over the past 24 hours, with current trading volume around 4.07 million USD. This market is settled based on IMF PortWatch data: if, on any day within the market cycle, the number of transit ships under the 7-day moving average reaches or exceeds 60 vessels, it is judged as “Yes”; otherwise, it is judged as “No”. The statistical scope includes container ships, bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and oil tankers, and only data recorded by the IMF PortWatch system is counted. Previous news: Iranian Foreign Minister: With Iran’s coordination, the strait can be navigated safely in the next two weeks. Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets and observes changes before pricing. (Source: ODAILY)