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Polymarket "The Strait of Hormuz shipping volume will return to normal before April 30" probability briefly rises to 57%, up 43% in 24 hours
ME News Report, April 8 (UTC+8), according to Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring, the probability of the event “Strait of Hormuz shipping volume returning to normal before April 30” has risen to approximately 57%, a 43% increase over 24 hours, with current trading volume around 4.07 million USD. This market is settled based on IMF PortWatch data, where if the 7-day moving average of transit ships reaches or exceeds 60 ships on any day within the market cycle, it is deemed “Yes”; otherwise, “No”. The statistics include container ships, bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and oil tankers, counting only data recorded by the IMF PortWatch system. Previous news: Iranian Foreign Minister: Under Iran’s coordination, the strait can be safely navigated in the next two weeks. Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing. (Source: ODaily)