BTC/ETH Weekly Outlook | Increased Risks at High Levels, Range-Bound Strategy

Current Market: BTC is at $77,500, ETH is stuck at $2,310. After several days of sideways consolidation last week, the main force started the "roller coaster" mode early this week—pushing up then quickly dropping back, highlighting the high-level risk.

News Analysis
The US-Iran negotiation framework has basically been finalized; the current verbal sparring is essentially coordinated to control the market and draw lines. Pakistan has removed defenses, Iran has resumed flights, and the Strait order is about to return to normal. The remaining "tension news" is most likely just a tactic to harvest retail traders.

Key Levels

Currency Type Price Level Explanation
BTC Short-term Resistance 78,800 First resistance on rebound
BTC Strong Resistance at High Level 79,500 Key suppression zone
BTC Critical Bull-Bear Threshold 77,500 Near current price
BTC Support 76,800 Break below signals weakening
BTC Defensive Bottom Line 76,000 Last line of defense
ETH Key Resistance 2,380 Core resistance on rebound
ETH Strong Resistance at High Level 2,420 Suppression zone
ETH Bull-Bear Threshold 2,350 Above this indicates relative strength
ETH Support 2,320 Short-term defense
ETH Defensive Bottom Line 2,280 Break below opens space

Simple reminder: If BTC breaks below 76,800 or ETH breaks below 2,280, the downside space will be fully opened.

Trading Strategy

· Core idea: Support levels for long positions, resistance levels for short positions
· Market rhythm: Either rapid fluctuations or continued sideways grinding
· Taboo: Never chase longs at high levels, as it’s just inviting trouble

Follow-up Focus
The US-Iran news has basically run its course; the remaining "tension news" is mostly the main players drawing lines. Next, focus on the Federal Reserve chair change, which is the key variable influencing the market. $BTC $GT $ETH