I just looked at the data on CoinMarketCap and honestly, it's pretty sad to see how XRP, Bitcoin, and Ethereum have performed since Trump was inaugurated last year. If you had invested $10K on the day of Trump’s inauguration in January 2025, your position would now be seriously in the red.

At that time, Bitcoin was super hype, reaching $101K with a market cap of $2 trillion. Ethereum was also solid at $3,208, and XRP had risen to $2.95 for the first time in 8 years. The momentum from Trump’s election in November beforehand had already made the crypto market explode, Bitcoin hit $100K, and everyone was very optimistic.

But now? Fast forward to today, the situation is totally different. Bitcoin has dropped to around $78K, Ethereum at $2.32k, and XRP only $1.44. If you look at CoinMarketCap now, its market cap has also shrunk significantly. Bitcoin has lost over 30% from its peak, Ethereum down 28%, and XRP the worst—almost 49% down.

So if you had invested $10K in each asset when Trump was inaugurated, here’s what happened:

Bitcoin: $10K you bought about 0.0989 BTC. Now worth around $7,720—about a 23% loss.

Ethereum: $10K you got 3.11 ETH. Its current value is around $7,215—down 28%. If you track it on ETH CoinMarketCap tools, you can see the value destruction directly.

XRP: The most suffering. $10K you got 3.389 XRP, now only worth $4,880—almost 50% loss. XRP’s market cap also collapsed from $170 billion to $85 billion.

Actually, some people are still optimistic. Some analysts say XRP could hit $5-$10 if regulation becomes clear, which means a 3.5x-7x return from here. There are even more aggressive projections, with projects reaching up to $83—but honestly, that’s too speculative for me.

Some still believe in the "$1 million per coin" narrative for Bitcoin. If that happens, your 0.0989 BTC would be worth almost $98,900. Analysts like Michaël van de Poppe say people will regret not buying Bitcoin at its current level in a few years. Even Bitwise’s CEO calls this a generational buying opportunity.

But the reality is, the crypto market is extremely volatile. This decline is largely blamed on macro policies under Trump—tariffs that fluctuate, Middle East situations, all making investor sentiment fragile. Yet Trump was supportive of crypto, so shouldn’t it be bullish?

What I notice is that the crypto market historically moves in cycles—deep corrections followed by sharp expansions. If you have a high risk tolerance and a long-term horizon, maybe this isn’t a bad time. But if you need money soon, this is definitely a tough position.

Moral of the story: time in the market is more important than timing the market, but still, investing $60K in January 2025 and seeing where you stand now... that’s definitely a test of conviction. Anyway, stay informed with CoinMarketCap and other tools, don’t rush into decisions based on short-term price action.