Let’s talk about the US-Iran situation: oil prices are steady as Mount Tai—behind the scenes, everyone is holding a big move

First, let’s talk about oil prices. Brent crude has again returned to above $100. Don’t be fooled by reports—circulating tonight or tomorrow—of a breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations; the market simply isn’t buying it at all. Why? Because the real standoff hasn’t stopped: Iran has just collected the first toll for passage through the Strait of Hormuz, and Trump immediately ordered warships to clear mines. The U.S. military has also claimed that it has deployed the strongest military force in history in the Middle East, and in the past 24 hours it has instructed 31 ships to turn around.

Next, look at what’s happening on the ground. Reuters reported that the U.S. military directly intercepted three Iranian oil tankers in waters in Asia, forcibly driving them away from areas near India and Malaysia. And Iranian President Pezeshkian also said last night: We welcome dialogue, but the United States is both blockading and threatening—this is the real obstacle to negotiations.

Stalemate on the surface, tug-of-war in the shadows. The U.S. intercepts tankers and stages a mine-clearing show of force; Iran collects tolls and refuses to loosen its stance. Oil prices haven’t reacted because everyone can see through it—there’s a low chance of the two sides tearing things up in the short term, but no one has truly made concessions. The drama is still unfolding—just watch and think it through. $BTC ‌$ETH ‌