Tonight, pay attention to the U.S. weekly initial jobless claims data.

Market expectations are 210k, previous value was 207k.
Looking at the trend over the past year, the data has generally fluctuated slightly around 200k, indicating that the employment market has not significantly worsened and remains relatively stable overall.

Recent data has repeatedly oscillated in the 200,000 to 220k range, showing that layoffs have not expanded significantly, but there are no signals of further strengthening, with employment showing a "steady but slightly weak" state.

In this context, the data's impact on the market is usually limited, making it difficult to form strong bullish or bearish signals, more often causing short-term emotional fluctuations rather than trend-driven movements.

In trading, note that if the data does not significantly exceed expectations, it is likely to follow a pattern of sharp rises followed by pullbacks or bottoming out and rebounding, meaning no clear direction, only volatility.

Tonight is most likely to remain a choppy market, focus on the 76,000-78,000 range.
Pay close attention to whether the data release shows any unexpected deviations before deciding on short-term trades.
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