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Bitcoin hits a new high in the Year of the Horse; can it reach the 80,000 target tomorrow?
Trump expressed hope for interest rate cuts, even saying that the U.S. should be a low-interest-rate country globally, but also indicated that interest rate hikes should be used to control inflation.
This creates a trend of falling first and then rising in relation to Bitcoin, which aligns very well with Wash's comments.
Wash also mentioned that the Federal Reserve is an independent institution from the U.S. government and will not be influenced by Trump, but he also expressed that he is a candidate who supports rate cuts, making his speech highly nuanced and hard to interpret.
This clearly conveys that there is chaos within the U.S., and perhaps they themselves do not know what to do.
Even Trump's remarks send signals of uncertainty; he originally did not expect that this round of military strikes would boost the stock market, as the initial expectation was a decline.
Currently, Bitcoin has already broken through 78,000, and the retracement depth is not significant, indicating a strong possibility of re-acceleration to challenge higher levels.
The current key consideration is whether the military conflict can end after surpassing 80,000.
Everyone should remember not to subjectively define the situation or set mental limits; whether or not a military conflict occurs, appropriate measures must be in place.
The financial feedback is positive, meaning that the military conflict is very likely to end (with a higher probability);
This is mainly reflected in U.S. economic data, and Trump may be able to end this round of conflict.
The reason is that inflation data and the stock market have not inflated or declined due to this conflict, and economic measures can help recover from the disruption caused by the military conflict.
Later, $BTC will explain the relationship between economics and military affairs in detail; I won't elaborate today, just a friendly reminder.
After yesterday's post about the contract positioning, I also updated in the circle of friends that it was a test to see if the 80,000 threshold could be broken.
Currently, my long positions are still held without any changes.
For users who followed my article and profited, I hope you remember the brilliance of April and cut down on criticism when mistaken.
For those who haven't entered the market, pay attention to the current retracement depth around 77,500 and 77,000; entering at these levels could be a good short-term position.
#加密市场反弹 $BTC