Polymarket's World Cup champion prediction heats up, Gate platform allows direct participation in the prediction.

The 2026 North America, Mexico, and Canada World Cup will officially kick off on June 11, with all 48 participating teams confirmed by April 1. Italy has missed the World Cup for three consecutive tournaments, Iraq returns to the finals for the first time in 40 years, and a total of 9 teams from Asia have set a new record. This edition of the World Cup is also the first in history to be jointly hosted by three countries, expanding the number of teams from 32 to 48, with 104 matches scheduled. The final will be held on July 19 at the MetLife Stadium. As the opening match approaches, discussions about the championship favorites continue to intensify.

Polymarket shows Spain leading with a 15.4% chance of winning

As a CEX integrated with Polymarket, Gate platform data indicates that in the “2026 World Cup Champion” prediction market, Spain, France, and England have respective probabilities of 15.4%, 14.7%, and 11.3%, reflecting a market focus on traditional powerhouses amid uncertainty.

The winning probabilities for other major teams are approximately: Argentina around 9%, Brazil about 8–9%, Portugal around 6–7%, Germany about 5–6%, the Netherlands around 3–4%, Norway about 3%. The host nation, the United States, has a probability of about 1.6–1.7%, and Mexico about 1.1%. Overall, the market’s expectations are more concentrated on traditional European powerhouses, with Spain leading clearly due to its young core lineup and stable possession style in terms of odds.

Gate platform integrates Polymarket: participate in global event predictions with one click

As a leading global cryptocurrency exchange, Gate officially integrated Polymarket in March 2026, becoming the first centralized exchange with native prediction market integration. Users can directly participate in prediction markets covering major sports events like the 2026 World Cup, cryptocurrency trends, macroeconomic indicators, and political outcomes within the Gate App, extending trading logic from price analysis to event judgment.

Gate offers two ways to participate in prediction markets to meet different user needs:

Exchange account route (CeFi) — Users only need to update the Gate App to version v8.12.5 or above, find the Polymarket module on the “Alpha” page, and can trade directly with USDT in their spot account. This method requires no wallet connection, no gas fees, and no bridging, providing an experience identical to regular trading.

Web3 wallet route (DeFi) — For users who prefer self-custody and on-chain interaction, they can connect their wallet to the Polymarket interface and trade using USDC on the Polygon network, maintaining full control over assets.

Additionally, Gate adopts a dual-mode architecture, offering “Prediction Mode” and “Trading Mode”: Prediction Mode is beginner-friendly, visually displaying “Yes/No” probabilities and odds (e.g., a price of 0.65 indicates a 65% chance of the event occurring), simplifying participation; Trading Mode provides advanced tools for professional traders, including real-time order books, candlestick charts, market depth, and limit and market orders, helping users apply technical analysis and execute event-driven positions.

Why choose prediction markets over traditional betting

Unlike traditional sports betting, crypto prediction markets like Polymarket operate on a decentralized architecture, with market information openly transparent to all participants. Price movements, trading depth, and market sentiment can be observed in real time. Prices not only reflect trading activity but also serve as a collective intelligence indicator. Each prediction event exists as a “Yes/No” share, with the market price representing the consensus probability of the event happening. Users buy shares representing the likelihood of the event outcome, rather than placing traditional bets.

In asset management, Gate has integrated prediction markets with spot accounts, allowing users to view USDT balances and prediction market positions in one place, and manage orders, positions, and trading history seamlessly. When the event settles, the system automatically exchanges correctly predicted contracts for stablecoins at a 1:1 ratio and transfers them to the spot account.

How to participate in the World Cup champion prediction via Gate

Participation is straightforward: update the Gate App → log in to your account → go to the Alpha page → select the Polymarket module → choose the “2026 World Cup Champion” event → decide on the outcome (Yes/No) → enter the amount and place the order. Users can execute trades directly from the event list page for quick response to market changes. The platform also features AI automatic translation to help non-English speakers participate easily.

To celebrate Gate’s integration with Polymarket, the platform has launched a sports prediction season event, where users can predict and trade on popular global events like the Champions League, NBA playoffs, and F1 Grand Prix for a chance to win generous rewards.

Rational participation, risks are manageable

Prediction markets also carry risks, including rapid price fluctuations, information gaps affecting judgment, and market sentiment deviating from actual probabilities. It is recommended that users thoroughly understand event-related information before participating, avoid blindly following trends, diversify investments reasonably, set appropriate stop-loss points, and maintain rational decision-making.

Summary

As the 2026 World Cup countdown begins, crypto prediction markets offer fans and investors a new way to engage. Polymarket data shows Spain leading with a 15.4% chance of winning, followed by France and England. Through native integration, Gate allows users to participate in the World Cup champion prediction directly within the platform using USDT, experiencing a process similar to regular trading. Whether you are a casual fan or a professional trader, you can quickly access prediction markets via the Gate App and leverage collective intelligence to catch the event’s opportunities.