Just checked Polymarket and the eth price prediction odds are pretty interesting right now. People are betting on ETH hitting $2,600 by end of April with 33% probability, and there's solid money on the line too around $6.65M in volume. Current price sitting at $2.34K so there's still some room to run. The downside bet below $2,000 is only 18% which suggests most traders think we're holding the line here.

BTC predictions are wilder though. The $80K call has 32% odds with $27.9M traded, but there's also a meaningful 14% chance it dips below $65K. Right now it's at $76.26K so either direction seems plausible depending on how things play out. These settlements are based on the 1-minute candle highs on the actual day, so timing matters.

Both markets settle May 1st at 11:59 UTC+8. Interesting to see what the actual eth price prediction and BTC moves look like by then. The volume tells you people are seriously positioning on these outcomes.