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So I've been seeing this all over - everyone's talking about how the U.S.-Saudi petrodollar agreement just ended after 50 years on June 9. Sounds huge, right? Except... it's not quite what people think it is.
Turns out most of these stories got the history wrong. The actual petrodollar agreement people are referencing goes back to 1974, when the U.S. and Saudi Arabia set up a Joint Commission on Economic Cooperation. This happened right after the 1973 OPEC oil embargo, and yeah, it was meant to strengthen ties between the two countries. But here's the thing - and this is where the narrative breaks down - there was never actually a requirement that Saudi Arabia only accept dollars for oil.
Saudi Arabia kept accepting other currencies like GBP for their oil even after 1974. So the "exclusive dollar" story everyone's running with? That's not accurate. What actually happened was a more secretive arrangement where Saudi Arabia agreed to invest heavily in U.S. Treasurys in exchange for military support. Bloomberg revealed this through a FOIA request back in 2016. But that's different from what people are claiming now.
Even Paul Donovan from UBS called this out - the 1974 deal was about economic cooperation, not enforcing a dollar-only petrodollar agreement system.
Now, there ARE real shifts happening in commodity trading. China and Russia have been moving more oil deals into yuan. In 2023, Russia became China's top crude supplier with most payments in yuan. UAE and India also signed on to trade oil in local currencies. De-dollarization is real in certain pockets.
But here's what's being overlooked - the dollar still dominates. The IMF data shows while the dollar's share of global reserves dropped slightly, nothing's really challenging it as the reserve currency. Most oil, especially Saudi oil, is still priced in dollars. The economic and military relationship between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia is too deep to ignore.
Even when transactions happen in other currencies, they usually convert back to dollars for actual investments and reserves. The whole system is built around dollar dominance, dating back to a 1945 security agreement. That infrastructure doesn't just disappear.
So the takeaway? The viral story about the petrodollar agreement ending is mostly built on misunderstandings about what the original arrangement even was. Yeah, we're seeing some currency diversification in global trade, but the petrodollar system's grip on oil markets isn't collapsing overnight. The dollar's dominance has deeper roots than most people realize.