The SOL critical point has been reached! The 85-level is surging with hidden currents; will it be a main upward wave or a deep correction? We'll find out tonight.

Current Price: 85.63

SOL’s recent movement is very interesting—unlike BTC’s high-level oscillation, nor ETH’s compression and convergence, it more resembles a “strong rebound edge” in the early divergence phase. To put it simply: the direction will be revealed soon, but right now it’s still in the “deception phase.”

Let’s analyze the structure directly.

  1. Daily Chart: Uptrend not broken, but entering correction phase

The daily chart still maintains a medium-term bullish structure, but there are several very key signals:

  • Highs have not made new highs, showing “stagnant rally”
  • Candlesticks start to show upper shadows → increased selling pressure above
  • MACD red bars continue to shorten, momentum clearly wanes
  • RSI pulls back from overbought zone

Key levels:

  • Strong support: 80
  • Trend defense: 76
  • Resistance above: 92

Conclusion: The daily chart has shifted from “unilateral rise” to “consolidation after rise,” indicating a healthy correction. But if it falls below 76, the structure will weaken.

  1. 4-Hour Chart: Weak oscillation structure, center of gravity begins to shift downward

The 4-hour is currently the most critical cycle because it has shown signs of weakening before the daily:

  • Highs gradually decreasing (92 → 90 → 88)
  • Support at lows tested multiple times (around 82-83)
  • Moving averages start to turn downward

Technical performance:

  • MACD breaks below zero line, enters bearish zone
  • Bollinger Bands opening downward, price running near lower band
  • Volume expands during decline → genuine selling pressure exists

The essence of the current structure:

  • Oscillating downward, not sideways

Key zones:

  • Resistance: 88-90
  • Support: 82 → if broken, look at 80
  1. 1-Hour Chart: Bearish control, rebound lacks strength

In the short term, the trend is very clear:

  • Continues the rhythm of “decline—weak rebound—further decline”
  • Each rebound is suppressed below MA20
  • MACD continues to expand in the bearish zone

This is a typical:

  • Weak rebound within a bearish trend

Short-term key levels:

  • Resistance: 86.5-87.5
  • Support: 83 / 82

As long as the rebound cannot surpass 87, the bearish rhythm remains unchanged.

  1. Structural resonance: SOL is weaker than mainstream coins

Compared to the overall market:

  • BTC: oscillating at high levels
  • ETH: converging for a breakout
  • SOL: already weakening early

This indicates an important message: Funds are already taking profits on SOL.

  1. Trading strategies (key points)

  2. Short-term strategy (currently optimal)

  • Short positions in batches within 86.5-88 zone
  • Stop-loss: above 90
  • Targets: 82 → 80

Logic: 4-hour + 1-hour resonance bearish signals

  1. Bottom-fishing strategy (use cautiously)
  • Consider only two positions:

  • Light long near 80

  • Re-enter strong support zone around 76

Must set stop-loss, as a breakdown will accelerate the decline.

  1. Trend-following strategy
  • Break above 92 → shift to bullish, go long with the trend
  • Fall below 80 → open downside space, target 75 or lower
  1. Risk warning

The most dangerous point for SOL now is:

  • Surface decline is small, but the structure has already weakened
  • Very easy to see “shadow decline + sudden acceleration downward”

Don’t be fooled by small rebounds.

SOL-1.34%
BTC-1.28%
ETH-2.5%
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