Analysis: The probability of the U.S. and Iran reaching a consensus on core demands is not low

ME News Report, April 12 (UTC+8), CITIC Securities stated that from the core demands of the U.S. side, if Iran can give up uranium enrichment, it will become the most significant military achievement for the U.S. and the biggest “accomplishment” Trump can use to appease the domestic audience.
This round of conflict has already caused substantial negative impacts on the midterm elections, and an early exit is necessary.
Since the Iranian Islamic Revolution, the U.S. has lost control over Iran’s nuclear capabilities; past U.S. presidents over the past few decades have failed to resolve this issue, severely affecting America’s Middle East strategy.
Compared to Iran’s “nuclear abandonment achievement” which has a huge role in political propaganda, the indirect link between oil prices and inflation may have less impact on elections, so the Trump administration might be willing to compromise on issues like control of the Strait of Hormuz.
From Iran’s core demands, this war has proven that blockades of the strait and threats to Middle Eastern infrastructure are extremely important bargaining chips, even more destructive and flexible than nuclear threats.
Compared to the extremely costly and difficult-to-control scale of nuclear weapons, blocking the strait and attacking infrastructure only require low-cost drones to cause significant impacts on the U