Is there going to be war today just like yesterday? Trump's "flip-flop" caught the global markets off guard

Just yesterday, he was loudly claiming that the US and Iran were "close to reaching an agreement," and today he threatened on Air Force One that "war will restart"—Trump's rapid change of stance has the global markets spinning in confusion.
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On April 17th, Iran announced the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to plummet, Bitcoin surged past $78k, and the market was immersed in a celebration of geopolitical risk easing. Just a few hours later, Trump told reporters on Air Force One: if no agreement is reached by Wednesday, the war will restart. "Maybe I won't extend the ceasefire, the blockade remains, and unfortunately, we will have to start dropping bombs again."
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And on the same day, he also "thanked" Iran on social media for opening the strait, claiming that the agreement's "major terms have been mostly finalized."

This is not a contradiction but a carefully planned pressure tactic—talk and fight at the same time, with carrots and sticks wielded simultaneously. Meanwhile, the Iranian parliament speaker countered Trump’s statement, saying it is "completely false," and the deputy foreign minister explicitly refused a temporary ceasefire, demanding a complete end to the conflict. The reopening of the strait was also conditioned with strict requirements and only considered "temporary."
$ETH ‌ Global financial markets fear not bad news but uncertainty. After oil prices dropped more than 10% in a day, who dares to guarantee they won't spike again in the next second? Nearly 170k traders in the crypto market were liquidated, with over $700 million in losses, and short squeeze amplified the gains, also planting the seeds for a reverse crash.

In the current phase of geopolitical contest, any extreme market movement in any direction could happen instantly. Maintaining reverence is more important than chasing after a particular direction.
#美伊局势和谈与增兵博弈 #美股创下历史新高