Spot positions can’t be held, and futures contracts are easy to liquidate—plainly put, it’s not that you’re not capable. It’s that your position is conspiring with your emotions. My one-sentence, plain-language version: first, figure out clearly, “What’s the most I can lose and still sleep at night?” then work backward to determine your position size. Don’t start from “How much I want to make.” Treat spot trading like slow cooking: keep the position small enough that you don’t need to watch it every day. As for futures, either don’t touch them, or keep the position so small that even if it blows out, it’s only tuition paid—and it won’t affect your ability to enjoy your tea the next day.

Recently, AI agents and automated trading have been hyped up quite a lot. But after looking through it, it seems more like there are two groups of people: one group is really good at storytelling, and the other is nitpicking permissions, signatures, and contract risks… Anyway, I’d rather make a little less than authorize everything with one click and hand over wallet access.

I trust the data a bit more, because when intuition is losing money, it automatically “changes its story.” Data, at least, won’t turn emotional. That’s it for now.